Category: Uncategorized
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
From the National Hurricane Center:
For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on HurricaneGabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93):Shower and T-Storm activity associated with an elongated areaof low pressure located several hundred miles east of the LeewardIslands continues to show signs of organization. Environmentalconditions are forecast to be favorable for further development, anda tropical depression is likely to form later today or Thursdaywhile the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward into thewestern tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands.Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, canbe found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National WeatherService.* Formation chance through 48 hours high 90 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days high 90 percent.Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL94):A tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean Sea is producingdisorganized showers and T-Storms. This wave is expected tomove west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, spreading heavy rainfalland gusty winds into Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, andacross the Dominican Republic beginning tonight. The system is thenexpected to slow down and turn northwestward when it reaches thesouthwestern Atlantic late this week. Environmental conditions areforecast to be more conducive for development in a few days, and atropical depression is likely to form when the disturbance is in thevicinity of the Bahamas. Interests in the Virgin Islands, PuertoRico, the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and theBahamas should monitor the progress of this system. An Air ForceHurricane Hunter Aircraft is scheduled to perform a system surveythis afternoon to gather data from the surrounding environment, ifnecessary.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 30 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days high 80 percent.High Seas Forecasts issued by Weather Tracker TVcan be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.phpForecaster Kelly
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
From the National Hurricane Center:
For the North Atlantic Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:Active Systems:The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on HurricaneGabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93):Shower and T-Storm activity associated with a tropical wavelocated a little less than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antillescontinues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditionsare forecast to be favorable for development over the next severaldays, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the latter halfof this week while the system moves west-northwestward tonorthwestward into the western tropical Atlantic.* Formation chance through 48 hours medium 50 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days high 90 percent.East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showersand T-Storms, and gusty winds across much of the Windward andLeeward Islands. This wave is expected to move west-northwestwardat 15 to 20 mph, spreading heavy rainfall and gusty winds intoPuerto Rico and the Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday. Thesystem is then expected to slow down and turn northwestward when itreaches the southwestern Atlantic near the Bahamas late this week,and a tropical depression could form when the disturbance is in thatregion. Interests in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Turks andCaicos Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of thissystem.* Formation chance through 48 hours low 20 percent.* Formation chance through 7 days medium 60 percent.Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin